Main event tonight:
Scattered storms will rumble across northern Minnesota and Wisconsin today, but it still appears the main event for southern Minnesota will happen tonight. A cold front will cut into the hot humid air mass, triggering new development west and north of the metro later this afternoon and into the evening.
We could get a stray thunderstorm this afternoon, but it still looks like we're on track for the main batch of storms in the metro between 7pm and midnight. The best chance of a slow moving line of storms moving into the metro appears to be between 8pm and 10pm. We'll get another model run this morning that may shed some light on timing, but it will be best to keep an eye on the sky today and especially this evening.
Much of Minnesota could get another good soaker, with widespread .50" to 1" rainfall totals possible through tonight.
The best chances for severe weather will be in the form of damaging winds and large hail, but SPC forecasts about a 10% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of the metro late this afternoon or this evening.
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